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MNI SARB Preview - September 2021: SARB on Hold at 3.50%, Inflation Vectors Still Contained

SOUTH AFRICA

23/09/21 - 1400BST/1500CEST/0900ET


The SARB is expected to keep its key rate unchanged at 3.50% this week, with inflation still broadly contained within the 3-6% target range on both a near and medium-term basis. This, alongside a muted aggregate demand impulse, structurally high unemployment and a fragile recovery narrative, informs our base case for the SARB to remain on hold out to 1Q22 and potentially beyond. The more interesting component of the meeting will be the SARB's assessment of GDP following the recent rebasing, and discussion of a possible shift to a narrower 3-4% inflation target, which has been well-received by analysts thus far.


Full Preview Here:

SARB Preview 23.09.21.pdf



MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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