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MNI SNB Review - Dec 2021: CPI Seen Below Forecast Across Forecast Horizon

Executive Summary:

  • The SNB kept policy unchanged, with the Sight Deposit Rate and main Policy Rate at -0.75%.
  • The Bank retained their view that the CHF is “highly valued”, repeating that the bank remains willing to intervene as necessary.
  • The inflation forecast saw a very marginal shift higher, but inflation seen below target across the forecast horizon.
Full review here:

MNISNBRevDec21.pdf

The SNB kept policy unchanged in December, with the board looking to further ensure price stability and add “support to the Swiss economy in its recovery”. They retained their language around the CHF, describing the currency as “highly valued”, again reiterating that they are willing to intervene as necessary.

Inflation forecasts were revised higher – alongside expectations – with the SNB pinning the forecast upgrade on elevated import prices (read: oil and gas) and global supply bottlenecks. Nonetheless, the bank kept the longer-term inflation forecasts “virtually unchanged with September”. This keeps their CPI forecast notably below target across the forecast horizon which now stretches to Q3 2024.

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com

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