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MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts

     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
                            New        Tra
                           Loan         de  Expo
                PP            s   TSF  Bal   rts  Impor  Investm  Industr  Retai
                 I     M2  July  July  Jul  July     ts      ent      ial  l Sal
           CPI  Ju  End-J   CNY   CNY  y $    ($   July  Jan-Jul   Output     es
          July  ly    uly   Bln   Bln  Bln    %)  ($ %)        y     July   July
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                5.         800.  1075  46.
Median     1.6   6    9.5     0    .0    4  10.8   17.5      8.6      7.0   10.7
                5.         1100  1200  56.
High       1.7   8   10.0    .0    .0    0  14.5   23.1      9.3      7.8   11.5
                5.         529.  650.  41.
Low        0.9   0    9.2     0     0    0   8.5   13.0      8.4      6.5   10.6
                5.         795.  997.  46.
Mean       1.5   5    9.5     6     0    9  11.2   17.7      8.6      7.0   10.9
                19                     17.
No.       19.0  .0   19.0  19.0   9.0    0  19.0   19.0     19.0     18.0   19.0
                5.               1780  42.
Previous   1.5   5    9.4   1.5    .0    8  11.3   17.2      8.6      7.6   11.0
                5.         780.  1050  43.
BAML       1.5   4    9.5     0    .0    9  11.0   18.4      8.6      6.9   10.7
Bank of         5.         950.
China      1.6   6    9.6     0    na   na  13.9   23.1      8.6      7.3   11.0
Bank of
Communic        5.         800.        49.
ations     1.4   6    9.7     0    na    0  10.0   13.0      8.4      6.5   10.7
          1.5-  5.         0.6-  1-1.
CICC       1.6   6   10.0   0.7     1   na  10.8   17.0      8.5      7.0   10.7
                5.  9.6-9  600-        46.
CITICS     1.4   4     .8   700    na    6  10.0   15.0      8.6      7.2   10.7
Commerz         5.         529.        46.
Bank       1.6   6    9.4     0    na    1  14.5   22.8      8.6      6.8   10.7
Guotai
Junan
Securiti        5.         800.  1200  56.
es         1.6   6    9.6     0    .0    0  10.1   17.5      9.0      7.0   11.3
Huachuan        5.         800.        46.
g Sec      1.5   7    9.4     0    na    7  10.6   15.7      8.5      6.7   10.7
Huarong         5.         800.  1200  56.
Sec        1.6   6    9.6     0    .0    0  10.1   17.5      9.0      7.0   11.3
Huatai          5.         900.  1100  46.
Sec        1.6   6    9.5     0    .0    6  11.5   17.0      8.7      7.0   10.6
Industri        5.         550.  650.  46.
al Bank    1.4   3    9.3     0     0    2  12.0   18.0      8.4      6.9   10.8
                5.         1100        41.
ING        1.7   0    9.2    .0    na    8  11.0   20.3      8.5      7.8   11.5
Merchant        5.         800.        41.
s Sec      1.5   6    9.3     0    na    0   8.5   17.1      8.4      7.2   10.8
                5.         900.        48.
Mizuho     1.5   6    9.4     0    na    6  10.0   15.0      8.6       na   11.0
                5.         850.  870.  44.
Nomura     1.6   5    9.6     0     0    8  10.5   17.0      8.5      7.0   10.7
Shanghai
Securiti        5.         600.        44.
es         0.9   5    9.4     0    na    0  13.5   20.9      9.3      7.0   10.6
Shenwan         5.         900.  1100  48.
Hongyuan   1.5   5    9.4     0    .0    0  13.0   18.0      8.6      6.8   10.8
Standard
Chartere        5.         766.  806.  46.
d          1.6   8    9.3     0     0    2  12.0   18.0      8.7      6.8   10.7
                5.         700.        46.
UBS        1.6   5    9.6     0    na    4  10.0   15.0      8.7      7.3   11.0
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     July forex reserves data due for release on Aug. 7
     June trade data due for release on Aug. 8.
     June CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Aug. 9.
     The Q2 GDP, industrial output, retail sales and fixed-asset investment due
for release at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Aug 14. 
     No scheduled release time for July money supply, bank loans and total
social financing.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: iris.ouyang@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: vince.morkri@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MT$$$$]

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