MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: Dec 21

                      Dec 21    Dec 21    Dec 21        Dec 21    Dec 21  Dec 21

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                     Durable   Durable                              Core

                       Goods                           Current       PCE

                         New     Goods  Personal        Dollar     Price    Real

                                   Ex.

                      Orders     Trans    Income           PCE     Index     GDP

Data For                 Nov       Nov       Nov           Nov       Nov  3Q (t)

Denomination            % Ch      % Ch      % Ch          % Ch      % Ch    % Ch

Median Forecast

**                       0.0       0.4       0.3           0.4       0.2     3.5

High Forecast            2.0       0.7       0.3           0.4       0.2     3.6

Low Forecast            -0.6      -0.6       0.2           0.3       0.1     3.5

Mean                     0.4       0.3       0.3           0.4       0.2     3.5

Standard

Deviation                0.9       0.5       0.0           0.0       0.0     0.0

No. of Responses           7         6         7             7         4       6

Amherst Pierpont         0.4       0.7       0.3           0.4        NA     3.6

BMO                      2.0       0.3       0.3           0.3       0.2     3.5

Capital

Economics               -0.2       0.5       0.2           0.4       0.2      NA

CIBC                    -0.2       0.7       0.3           0.4        NA     3.5

Goldman Sachs            0.0       0.0       0.3           0.4       0.1     3.5

UBS                     -0.6      -0.6       0.3           0.3       0.2     3.5

UMaryland                1.5        NA       0.3           0.3        NA     3.5

** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above

and is not intended to represent a market consensus.

--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com

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