MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: Mar 13 - Mar 14

                           Mar 13     Mar 13  Mar 13    Mar 13    Mar 13  Mar 14

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                          Durable    Durable               PPI

                        Goods New      Goods          ex-food,    Constr  Import

                           Orders  Ex. Trans     PPI    energy  Spending  Prices

Data For                      Jan        Jan     Feb       Feb       Jan     Feb

Denomination                 % Ch       % Ch    % Ch      % Ch      % Ch    % Ch

Median Forecast **           -0.5        0.1     0.2       0.2       0.3     0.4

High Forecast                 1.9        1.4     0.3       0.3       0.7     0.5

Low Forecast                 -4.7       -1.4    -0.1       0.0      -0.9     0.1

Mean                         -0.6        0.1     0.2       0.2       0.2     0.3

Standard Deviation            1.3        0.5     0.1       0.1       0.4     0.1

No. of Responses               23         21      18        16        11       9

Bloomberg Consensus          -0.5        0.1     0.2       0.2       0.4     0.3

Amherst Pierpont              0.3        0.5     0.0       0.0        NA      NA

Bank of the West             -0.9        0.0     0.2       0.2       0.3     0.1

Barclays Capital               NA         NA      NA        NA        NA      NA

Bayerische

Landesbank                    0.0        1.4      NA        NA        NA      NA

BMO                          -1.0        0.1     0.3       0.2       0.4     0.4

Capital Economics             0.8        0.0     0.0       0.0        NA      NA

CIBC                          0.0       -0.1      NA        NA        NA      NA

Comerica Bank                  NA         NA     0.3       0.2        NA      NA

Credit Suisse                -0.8        0.1      NA        NA        NA      NA

Deka                         -1.5        0.1     0.2       0.2       0.2      NA

Deutsche Bank                 1.9        0.3     0.3       0.3        NA      NA

HSBC                          0.2       -0.2     0.0        NA      -0.2      NA

ING Group                    -0.5        0.3      NA        NA        NA      NA

Intesa Sanpaolo              -0.7        0.2     0.2       0.2       0.2     0.3

J.P. Morgan                   1.3       -0.5    -0.1       0.2        NA     0.4

Jefferies Economics          -1.2         NA     0.2       0.1       0.7     0.4

Lloyds Bank                  -0.5        0.4     0.2       0.2       0.6     0.4

Morgan Stanley               -4.7       -1.4     0.2       0.2      -0.9      NA

Natwest                      -1.1         NA     0.3        NA        NA      NA

Nomura                       -1.8        0.0      NA        NA        NA      NA

RBC                            NA        1.0     0.1       0.0        NA      NA

Scotiabank                   -0.5        0.4     0.2       0.2        NA      NA

SocGen                       -0.4        0.4      NA        NA        NA      NA

TD Securities                 0.1       -0.3      NA        NA        NA      NA

UBS                          -0.1       -0.2     0.3       0.2       0.2     0.5

Umaryland                    -0.8         NA     0.2       0.2       0.6     0.3

Wells Fargo                  -2.3        0.0     0.2       0.2       0.3     0.3

** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above

and is not intended to represent a market consensus.

--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com

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