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MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: Mar 27 - Mar 29

                       Mar 27   Mar 27  Mar 28  Mar 28     Mar 28    Mar 29
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                                                 Chain    Initial
                        Trade  Current    Real   Price    Jobless  Personal
                      Balance  Account     GDP   Index     Claims    Income
Data For                  Jan       4Q  4Q (r)  4Q (r)  Mar 23 wk       Feb
Denomination                B        B    % Ch    % Ch          K      % Ch
Median Forecast **      -57.5   -132.3     2.3     1.8        223       0.3
High Forecast           -55.0   -128.0     2.6     1.8        225       0.4
Low Forecast            -60.6   -135.0     1.8     1.8        215      -0.1
Mean                    -57.5   -131.9     2.3     1.8        222       0.3
Standard Deviation        1.2      2.1     0.2     0.0        3.7       0.1
No. of Responses           16        6      16       7          8        19
Amherst Pierpont        -60.6       NA     2.3      NA        220      -0.1
BofA/Merrill Lynch      -57.8   -131.0     2.1     1.8        225       0.2
BMO                     -57.0   -132.1     2.0      NA         NA       0.3
Capital Economics       -57.0       NA     2.2      NA         NA       0.1
CIBC                    -58.2       NA     2.5     1.8         NA       0.3
Commerzbank             -58.0       NA     2.4      NA        220       0.3
Credit Suisse           -57.5       NA      NA      NA         NA       0.3
Deutsche Bank           -57.0       NA     2.6     1.8         NA       0.3
Goldman Sachs           -57.0       NA     2.1      NA        225       0.3
HSBC                    -57.0   -132.6     2.4     1.8        225       0.0
Lloyds Bank             -57.5   -128.0     2.5     1.8        225       0.3
Morgan Stanley             NA       NA      NA      NA         NA       0.4
Natwest                    NA       NA     2.3     1.8        218       0.2
Nomura                  -55.0       NA     1.8      NA         NA       0.4
RBC                     -56.0       NA     2.4      NA        215       0.4
SocGen                     NA       NA      NA      NA         NA       0.4
TD Securities              NA       NA      NA      NA         NA        NA
UBS                     -58.7   -135.0     1.9      NA         NA       0.1
Umaryland               -57.7   -132.5     2.2     1.8        225       0.3
Wells Fargo             -58.4       NA     2.4      NA         NA       0.4
** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]

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