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MNI: Sweden Riksbank Leaves Key Repo Rate At -0.50% - Text

MNI (London)
--Bond Purchases To Continue As Planned
--First Riksbank Hike Not Seen Until Mid-2018
     LONDON (MNI) - Sweden's Riksbank has decided to leave the key repo rate
unchanged at -0.5% at Monday's meeting, with bond buying plans left unchanged.
The central bank repeated that it doesn't expect raise rises until the middle of
2018.
     The full text of the Riksbank announcement follows:
     ===========================================================================
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     Repo rate unchanged at -0.50 per cent
     Economic activity is strong and inflation is close to the target of 2 per
cent. Monetary policy needs to remain expansionary for inflation to continue to
be close to 2 per cent. The Executive Board of the Riksbank has therefore
decided to hold the repo rate unchanged at -0.50 per cent and is expecting, as
before, not to raise it until the middle of 2018. The purchases of government
bonds will continue during the second half of 2017, as decided by the Executive
Board in April. As the present asset purchase programme will run for the
remainder of the year, it will provide an opportunity to await further
information that could affect a decision in December to possibly extend the
purchases. The Executive Board has also taken a decision to extend the mandate
that facilitates a quick intervention on the foreign exchange market.
     Developments since September have been in line with the Riksbank's
forecasts both abroad and in Sweden. The international recovery is continuing,
but global inflationary pressures are subdued and the level of interest rates is
low. The normalisation of monetary policy abroad is expected to take time.
     The Riksbank's monetary policy has contributed to economic activity in
Sweden being strong. The employment rate is historically high. Inflation has
risen and was 2.3 per cent in September. Above all, prices for services have
increased rapidly, which reflects the way in which the strong economic activity
is having a greater impact on the rate of price increases.
     Economic activity needs to continue to have an impact on prices
     Part of the upturn in inflation in recent months is explained by temporary
factors, however. Inflation is expected to fall back slightly in the period
ahead but will remain close to 2 per cent in the coming years. It has taken time
and a great deal of support from monetary policy to bring up inflation and
inflation expectations. It is therefore important that the strong Swedish
economic activity continues to have an impact on price developments so that
inflation expectations remain anchored at the target. For inflation to remain
close to target, it is also important that the krona exchange rate does not
appreciate too quickly. This could happen if, for example, the Riksbank's
monetary policy deviates clearly from that of other countries.
     Expansionary monetary policy to keep inflation close to target
     Against this background, the Executive Board of the Riksbank has decided to
hold the repo rate unchanged at -0.50 per cent. The Executive Board is
expecting, as before, to let the repo rate remain at this level until mid-2018,
after which slow increases will be initiated. Purchases of government bonds will
continue in 2017, as decided in April. As the asset purchase programme will run
for the remainder of the year, it will provide an opportunity to await further
information that could affect a decision in December to possibly extend the
purchases. The Executive Board has also taken a decision to extend the mandate
that facilitates a quick intervention on the foreign exchange market.
     Just as before, the Riksbank is prepared to implement further monetary
policy easing if necessary to stabilise inflation and safeguard the inflation
target. All of the tools that the Riksbank has described earlier can be used if
necessary.
     Monetary policy safeguards the inflation target's role as nominal anchor
for price and wage formation and thereby contributes to the positive development
of the economy. But the low interest rates contribute at the same time to
increasing the risks linked to high and rising household indebtedness. To
achieve long-term sustainable development in the Swedish economy, these risks
need to be managed via measures within housing policy, taxation policy and
macroprudential policy.
     Forecast for Swedish inflation, GDP, unemployment and the repo rate Annual
percentage change, annual average
     Deputy Governors Martin Floden and Henry Ohlsson entered reservations
against the decision to extend the mandate for foreign exchange interventions.
Mr Floden cited the same motivation as he did at the meetings in January,
February and July 2016, and in February 2017. Mr Ohlsson considered that, in a
situation with inflation and inflation expectations close to the target level,
potential interventions on the foreign exchange market could be managed without
a special mandate.
     The decision on the repo rate will apply with effect from 1 November. The
minutes from the Executive Board's monetary policy meeting will be published on
9 November
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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