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Market News Topics
June 01, 2018 05:16 GMT
MNI Table:RBA Cash Rate Forecast;Majority See Hike in Mid-2019
By Sophia Rodrigues
SYDNEY (MNI) - A month ago eight out of 20 economists in MNI poll were
forecasting the first hike in the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate in this
cycle in November. Following a change in view by TD Securities earlier Friday
and several changes in May, just two are forecasting November for first hike,
and the majority has now shifted to middle of 2019.
Below is a table of forecasts for the next RBA cash rate decision on June 5
and the outlook for the cash rate. The cash rate is currently at 1.5%.
June 5 Outlook
-----------------------------------------------------------------
NAB Hold 25bps hike in May 2019.
ANZ Hold Hold in 2018; Hike in May 2019
Westpac Hold Hold 2018, 2019
CBA Hold 25bps hike Feb 2019
Goldman Sachs Hold 25bps hike in Nov
Citigroup Hold 25bps hike in Q1 2019
JP Morgan Hold Hold for foreseeable future
HSBC Hold 25bps hike in Q2 2019
TD Securities Hold 25bps hike in May, Nov 2019
UBS Hold Hike in 2H 2019
Deutsche Bank Hold 2 hikes each in 2H 2019, 2020
AMP Capital Hold Hike sometime in 2020
Moody's Hold Hold through 2018; Hike early 2019
St. George Hold 25bps hike in Q1 2019
Macquarie Hold 25bps hike Q1 2019, 2.25% by end-2019
Nomura Hold 25bps hike in Nov
RBC Capital Hold 25bps hike in Q1 2019
BankAm-ML Hold 25bp hike in May 2019
Morgan Stanley Hold Hold until Q3 2019
Standard Chartered Hold Hold in 2018
--MNI Sydney Bureau; tel: +61 2-9716-5467; email: sophia.rodrigues@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MMLRB$,M$A$$$,M$L$$$,MT$$$$]
To read the full story
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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