November 10, 2022 03:46 GMT
MNI U.S. CPI Preview - November 2022: Can Cars Drive A Core CPI Slowdown?
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Core CPI inflation is seen slowing slightly to 0.5% M/M in October after surprise persistence at 0.58% in Sept. The analyst survey is skewed slightly lower although the Cleveland Fed Nowcast implies upside risk.
- A similar 0.1-0.2pt beat to last month could see a delay in the Fed’s anticipated downshift to 50bp hikes into 2023 or augur a longer string of hikes, either way pushing the terminal rate higher still and driving a sharp flattening in the Treasury curve.
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