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Free AccessModest Bear Steepening With FOMC Speakers, Housing Data Ahead
The US curve has bear steepened Tuesday following the resumption of cash trade.
- With little in the way of impactful newsflow over the weekend, Tsy futures were dragged down Monday by bearish developments in Europe centered on a sell-off in UK rates ahead of the Bank of England meeting Thursday.
- Some of Monday's weakness has been unwound - alongside a bounce in Bunds and Gilts, and helped by dovish RBA minutes overnight - but Tsys remain cheaper this week by a few ticks.
- Attention turns to housing starts/building permits data (0830ET) following Monday's NAHB homebuilder sentiment reading that suggested a rebound in housing market activity may be underway. We also get Philly Fed non-manufacturing (also 0830ET).
- We hear from FOMC's Bullard, Williams, and Barr today, but focus this week is on Chair Powell's 2 days of congressional appearances, starting tomorrow.
- Supply consists of more chunky bill auctions: $50B 6-week CMB and $65B 13W/$58B 26W sales (unch from prior). We also get sizes for this week's 4/8/17W auctions at 1100ET.
- The 2-Yr yield is up 0.7bps at 4.7211%, 5-Yr is up 1.4bps at 3.9972%, 10-Yr is up 2.5bps at 3.7867%, and 30-Yr is up 2.7bps at 3.8796%.
- Sep 10-Yr futures (TY) down 3/32 at 112-30.5 (L: 112-23 / H: 113-7.5)
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.