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Modest Sep Retail Sales Set to Slow into Xmas Period

EUROZONE DATA
MNI (London)

EUROZONE SEP RETAIL SALES +0.4% M/M (= FCST); AUG 0.0%r M/M

EUROZONE SEP RETAIL SALES -0.6% Y/Y (FCST -1.1%) AUG -1.4%r Y/Y

  • Following upside surprises in German and Italian data, eurozone retail sales saw modest growth of +0.4% m/m in September, after stalling in August. Sales were down -0.6% compared to Sep 2021.
  • Non-food rose by +1.0% m/m and food by +0.4% m/m, implying that consumption remained relatively robust. Auto fuel sales contracted by -0.6% m/m.
  • With inflation reaching a fresh high of +10.7% y/y for the bloc in October, consumers are feeling the squeeze of soaring prices on disposable incomes, as highlighted in weak sentiment indicators.
  • Heading into the holiday season, Xmas sales are anticipated to remain weak and not be brought forward as in 2021 (due to logistic issue concerns).

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