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Momentum on Equities Remains Bearish

CHINA
  • Since the start of the year, the deceleration in Chinese economic activity combined with the contraction in liquidity (TSF 12M sum) has been weighing on domestic risky assets.
  • China equities (Hang Send Index) have been constantly reaching lower highs this year and is down nearly 20% since their February peak (which also corresponds to the peak of the Chinese economic activity).
  • In addition, the government crackdown on a range of industries (property, tech, gambling, education…) have left some equity sectors vulnerable in the past few months.
  • For instance, Chinese tech stocks (CQQQ) are down 35% since February.
  • The HSI index tested its 50DMA (25,195) support overnight; next level to watch on the downside stands at 24,970, which corresponds to the 61.8% Fibo retracement of the 21,139 – 31,168 range.
  • Key support to watch on HIS index stands at 22,800, the low of its LT downward trending channel.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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