October 01, 2024 15:45 GMT
NATGAS: Gas Markets at European Close: Delayed Mid East Response Prompts Rally
NATGAS
TTF saw a significant price rally on Tuesday following headlines that an Iranian ballistic missile attack on Israel is imminent in retaliation for recent attacks on its proxies in the region - most notably the assassination of Hezbollah head Nasrallah on Friday.
- TTF NOV 24 up 1.3% at 39.55€/MWh
- The move saw a swift reversal to weakness earlier in the session as prior geopolitical risk premium was pricing out from Monday’s jump.
- The TTF price response was more muted at first than oil before pushing back to early September levels.
- TTF nears resistant levels: RES 1: €39.50 - High Sep 30, RES 2: €40.25 - High Sep 3.
- The market remains prone to volatility as Europe enters its heating season. The regions inventories near 95% full.
- Flows from top supplier Norway are recovering after a heavy period of maintenance with only minor delays announced so far at some facilities/fields.
- Temperatures across parts of Europe are set to turn colder than usual this month, proving supportive for prices this week.
- Gas transmission capacity from Hungary towards Slovakia at the Velke Zlievce/Balassagyarmat border point will increase by one-third from tomorrow until the end of March 2025.
- Italy's OLT LNG terminal is scheduled to resume operations on Nov. 24 after completing extraordinary maintenance.
- A new Greek LNG storage and regasification unit off Alexandroupolis started commercial operations off the country’s northeastern coast on Tuesday.
- LNG floating storage has risen again in the last week, up 3.5% on the week to 4.44m tons, to continue the trend in place since mid August ahead of the upcoming winter heating season.
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