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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
FRANCE
The National Rally (RN) party of Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella retains a polling lead ahead of French legislative elections on June 30 despite the formation of the Nouveau Front Populaire [New Popular Front] a new left-wing alliance designed to present a unified left-wing resistance to the RN.
- A new survey from IFOP for the Journal du Dimanche, carried out June 13 to 14, found that, National Rally "is in pole position" (33% voting intentions) ahead of the NFP (28%) which gained 1 point from a June 10-11 survey.
- IFOP notes that Macron's Renaissance party, "appears to be in difficulty (18% of voting intentions) and seems to suffer from a sanction vote as in the European elections."
- The BBC notes that, "a poll on Friday evening for Le Point-Cluster 17 suggested the new left-wing alliance was not far behind Mr Bardella's party. It indicated RN could win 195-245 seats in the 577-seat National Assembly, with the New Popular Front on 190-235. The Macron centrist alliance would be reduced to up to 100 seats."
- IFOP notes that it expects high turnout on June 30: "...we measure high participation (63%) compared to that of the 1st round of the 2022 legislative elections (47.51%)."
Figure 1: French Legislative Elections Voting Intention
Source: IFOP/Europe Elects
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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