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NBH Rate Decision Takes Focus with Moderation in Pace of Easing Expected

HUNGARY
  • Having completed the process of rate convergence with a 100bp cut to the one-day deposit rate last month, the NBH are likely to moderate the pace of its easing cycle at this meeting given heightened market uncertainty surrounding Israel-Palestine matters. Among sell-side, expectations are unanimous that the scale of rate cut be reduced at this meeting. Of the views we have previewed, most are expecting a 75bp cut to the base rate.
  • Hungary’s average gross wages rose 15.3% y/y (Est: +14.8%) in August versus +15.3% in July, according to the Central Statistical Office.
  • Meanwhile, GKI economic sentiment was unchanged at -17 in October from September, according to the GKI Economic Research. Business confidence fell to -10.5 from -9 while consumer confidence rose to -35.6 from -39.6.

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