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Near-Term Fed Rates Ease Again Ahead Of Powell

STIR
  • After some gyrations around the 30Y auction results, Fed Funds implied rates are softening ahead of Chair Powell’s remarks due at 1400ET.
  • Additional tightening has been limited to 3.5bps over the next two meetings from closer to 5bp earlier today.
  • Late 2024 rates pull back off the post-auction spike but are still 3bp higher on the day at 4.49%. It implies 88bp of cuts from the peak to end-2024 vs 91bp at yesterday’s close.

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