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No Big Surprises In Final HICPs, But EZ-Wide Still Bears Watching

EUROZONE DATA

There have been only limited revisions to final July Eurozone inflation readings since the flash releases.

  • This morning's data showed a tweak to the Italian July unrounded HICP printing 0.1pp below the flash estimate: The final HICP index was 119.9, compared to 120.0 in the flash print, leading to a 6.3% Y/Y outturn vs 6.4% previously recorded.
  • Greece (whose stats agency only provides a final figure, out yesterday) was modestly higher than the Eurostat flash estimate of 3.4%, at 3.5%.
  • German, Portuguese, and Dutch flash readings were confirmed - we get Spain and France on Friday morning and barring major surprises there should be little change to the Eurozone-wide data in the final print on Aug 18.
  • This morning's ECB economic bulletin echoed MNI's Eurozone Inflation Insight which highlighted an increasingly evident slowdown in Services price momentum.
  • The potential for further information on the services component including PCCI analysis is a key reason to pay attention to the final Eurozone July inflation data, which is the last set before the September ECB decision.

Source: ECB Economic Bulletin

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