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NZD/USD last at $0.6583, oscillating within....>

KIWI
KIWI: NZD/USD last at $0.6583, oscillating within a ~10 pip range. The rate is
threatening to break above its 50-DMA, which comes in today at $0.6595. Above
here would bring into view $0.6657, which represents the 38.2% retracement of
the slide from $0.6939 to the YtD low. Bears need to clear the 21-DMA at $0.6565
to gain some momentum before challenging the May 27 & 28 lows at $0.6540.
- The rate advanced almost 50 pips yesterday, as the greenback was offered after
the Fed said they may cut interest rates if outlook worsens. Furthermore, the
rate received a boost from a stronger than exp. NZ Q1 Y/Y GDP and an upward
revision to the prior reading released in yesterday's Asia-Pac session. Worth
noting, however, that the growth rate remained at a 5-year low.
- Yesterday's GDP print came ahead of the RBNZ MonPol decision, due next week,
with markets currently pricing in a ~20% of a cut to the OCR.
- Also next week, expect NZ credit card spending figures on Monday, trade data
onTuesday and ANZ biz. confidence survey on Thursday.
- Elsewhere, NZ FinMin Robertson announced that that Susan Paterson will replace
retiring Keith Taylor as RBNZ board member.

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