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OIL: China’s Tax Move Could Cut Oil Exports: Citi

OIL

A recent decision relating to export taxes in China cut curb exports of oil products and trigger lower crude throughput, Citi said in a note cited by Bloomberg.

  • China is cutting the export tax rebate for several products including refined fuels from Dec. 1.
  • “[The move] may dent export competitiveness from China, even if the market had already priced in limited upside to Chinese product exports given ongoing run cuts,” Citi analysts said.
  • It could also trigger lower runs as refiners have to fight for domestic market share at a time when China’s market is suffering weakening demand and the start up of the new Yulong refinery.
  • In the near-term, product exports could rise before the export VAT rebate changes.
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A recent decision relating to export taxes in China cut curb exports of oil products and trigger lower crude throughput, Citi said in a note cited by Bloomberg.

  • China is cutting the export tax rebate for several products including refined fuels from Dec. 1.
  • “[The move] may dent export competitiveness from China, even if the market had already priced in limited upside to Chinese product exports given ongoing run cuts,” Citi analysts said.
  • It could also trigger lower runs as refiners have to fight for domestic market share at a time when China’s market is suffering weakening demand and the start up of the new Yulong refinery.
  • In the near-term, product exports could rise before the export VAT rebate changes.