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Oil Summary at European Close: Crude Highest Since Feb. 1

OIL
Energy BulletsCommodities

Crude markets have risen to their highest since Feb. 1, driven by pessimism that a ceasefire in Gaza is achievable in the short term, which in turn will cause Red Sea disruption to drag on.

  • Brent APR 24 up 2.5% at 81.18$/bbl
  • WTI MAR 24 up 2.6% at 75.75$/bbl
  • Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu, appeared to pur cold water on a ceasefire, telling reporters that Israel, "will not suffice with less," than a decisive victory in their war against Hamas.
  • The attacks in the Red Sea have become increasingly dangerous in the last days and the level of threats have likely not peaked yet, CEO Vincent Clerc said.
  • Venezuela has vowed to respond forcefully if drilling to start in the contested waters off Guyana, according to the AFP.
  • OPEC+ supply cutbacks this year have “been close enough to expectations” according to Deutsche Bank while BofA see cuts “positive” compared with initial market expectations.
  • Damage to Russian refineries from drone attacks could undermine commitments to OPEC+ supply cuts as it forces up exports, according to Reuters.
  • Oil demand is better than expected in the first week of February with a boost in China from the Lunar New Year holiday and with better weather in the US and Asia according to JPMorgan.
  • DNO’s oil production in the Kurdistan region has largely recovered to levels seen before the shutdown of the pipeline to the Turkish port of Ceyhan in March 2023
  • Freight rates for Suezmax voyages loading in the Mediterranean and Black Sea and discharging in the Far East have spiked amid instability in the Black Sea, according to Platts.
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Crude markets have risen to their highest since Feb. 1, driven by pessimism that a ceasefire in Gaza is achievable in the short term, which in turn will cause Red Sea disruption to drag on.

  • Brent APR 24 up 2.5% at 81.18$/bbl
  • WTI MAR 24 up 2.6% at 75.75$/bbl
  • Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu, appeared to pur cold water on a ceasefire, telling reporters that Israel, "will not suffice with less," than a decisive victory in their war against Hamas.
  • The attacks in the Red Sea have become increasingly dangerous in the last days and the level of threats have likely not peaked yet, CEO Vincent Clerc said.
  • Venezuela has vowed to respond forcefully if drilling to start in the contested waters off Guyana, according to the AFP.
  • OPEC+ supply cutbacks this year have “been close enough to expectations” according to Deutsche Bank while BofA see cuts “positive” compared with initial market expectations.
  • Damage to Russian refineries from drone attacks could undermine commitments to OPEC+ supply cuts as it forces up exports, according to Reuters.
  • Oil demand is better than expected in the first week of February with a boost in China from the Lunar New Year holiday and with better weather in the US and Asia according to JPMorgan.
  • DNO’s oil production in the Kurdistan region has largely recovered to levels seen before the shutdown of the pipeline to the Turkish port of Ceyhan in March 2023
  • Freight rates for Suezmax voyages loading in the Mediterranean and Black Sea and discharging in the Far East have spiked amid instability in the Black Sea, according to Platts.