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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
TURKEY
Despite widespread discontent with the state of the Turkish economy, the opposition group of parties set to challenger incumbent President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's right-wing Justice and Development Party (AKP) and its allies only holds a slender lead in latest opinion polling fromAl-Monitor/Premise.
- Party polling: AKP: 28%, Republican People's Party (CHP): 24%, Good Party (IYI): 9%, People's Democratic Party (HDP): 4%, Nationalist Movement Party (MHP): 4%, Democracy and Progress Party (DEVA): 3%, Others: 7%, Would not vote: 21%.
- By Bloc: Anti-Erdogan opposition (CHP, IYI, DEVA): 36%, Pro-Erdogan parties (AKP, MHP): 32%. Poll shows that 59% of respondents thought Turkey was 'going in the wrong direction', compared to 24% saying the right direction and 17% unsure.
- Joyce Karam at Al-Monitor: "Despite thin edge for opposition, majority of Turkey's public is not satisfied with the bloc running against Erdogan. Only 21% of the respondents are "very satisfied" with the opposition’s performance while 11% are "somewhat satisfied."
- Decision of the Kurdish-interest HDP could prove crucial. If Kurdish voters can be convinced to back CHP-led alliance in significant numbers it could significantly damage Erdogan's re-election chances come June 2023.
Chart 1. Opinion Poll: "Would you say that things in Turkey are headed in the right or wrong direction?", %
Source: Al-Monitor/Premise, fieldwork 30 Aug-30-Nov, 994 respondents.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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