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Outperforms, RBNZ On Tap

NZD

NZD/USD prints $0.6155, the pair was ~0.9% firmer in Tuesday's Trading.

  • Kiwi outperformed yesterday with only NOK stronger in the G-10 space as equities and bonds rallied as a risk-on tone developed. NZD/USD firmed through the London session, finding resistance at $0.6160, before settling into a $0.6140/55 range.
  • The S&P500 closed at its highest level since 12 Sep, upbeat earning from retailers boosted sentiment, up ~1.4%. The USD snapped a three-day rally, DXY down ~0.6%.
  • OIS markets are pricing a ~69 bps hike in the OCR at today's RBNZ meeting. The Bloomberg consensus is for a 75 bps hike. 15 out 21 economists surveyed look for a 75bps hike, the remainder forecast a 50bps move. The terminal rate is now priced to peak at 5.17%.
  • Technically, bulls look to target the 200-day EMA at $0.6237. A break through there would open the way to the high from 12 Aug at $0.6468. Bears need to breach the 100-day EMA at $0.6027 to re-establish the downtrend.

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