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Overnight Volatility Within Recent Ranges Ahead Of US CPI

AUD

AUD/USD overnight implied volatility sits at 18.89% as option markets price in a $0.6590-$0.6736 range in the aftermath of today's US CPI print.

  • Overnight implied volatility sits well below levels seen in the aftermath of the SVB crisis (~25%), however we are above levels seen before last week's RBA meeting (~16%).
  • Overnight risk reversals are skewed to the downside, however we sit a touch off levels seen pre-SVB crisis and well within the yearly range.
  • There are several notable option strikes for today's NY cut, based on DTCC data, at $0.67 (A$545.2mn) and $0.6750 (A$1.2bn).

Fig1: AUD/USD Overnight Implied Option Volatility

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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