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Pending Home Sales See Surprise Jump To End 2023

US DATA
  • Pending home sales were far stronger than expected in December, jumping 8.3% M/M (cons 2.0%) after -0.3% in Nov (revised marginally lower from 0.0%).
  • The strength isn’t simply from one region either: west (+14% after 3.3), south (+11.9% after -2.5), midwest (5.6% after 0.5) and northeast (-3.0% after 0.5).
  • It just surpasses the 8.1% increase in Jan’23 for the strongest monthly increase since May’20.
  • Directionally, pending home sales typically lead existing home sales by 1-2 months, although have been running below existing home sales for some time now when comparing with pre-pandemic levels (a gap that has been closed by this jump).

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