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Periphery a Little Tighter To Start, BTPs Outperform

EGBS

The combination of the uptick in benchmark equity indices (although that has pared back from extremes) and the softer-than-expected German PPI data promotes some peripheral spread tightening to Bunds early today.

  • 10-Year BTPs are ~2bp tighter as Italian paper outperforms on the aforementioned drivers/higher beta nature, with more modest moves seen in the remainder of the periphery/Bund spreads.
  • Outside of macro news flow there will be some focus on DBRS Morningstar’s scheduled rating update re: Portugal (current rating: A, Stable Trend).
  • A reminder that Portuguese fiscal dynamics have been supportive for PGBs and the Portuguese sovereign rating, resulting in a raft of PGB tightener recommendations in recent memory.
  • Still, the fact that DBRS’ A rating of the country is in line with 2/3 of the bigger rating agencies (with S&P currently one notch below at BBB+; Outlook Positive) and the trend (outlook) sitting at stable limits the scope for an outright upgrade after hours today.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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