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Free AccessPeriphery a Little Tighter To Start, BTPs Outperform
The combination of the uptick in benchmark equity indices (although that has pared back from extremes) and the softer-than-expected German PPI data promotes some peripheral spread tightening to Bunds early today.
- 10-Year BTPs are ~2bp tighter as Italian paper outperforms on the aforementioned drivers/higher beta nature, with more modest moves seen in the remainder of the periphery/Bund spreads.
- Outside of macro news flow there will be some focus on DBRS Morningstar’s scheduled rating update re: Portugal (current rating: A, Stable Trend).
- A reminder that Portuguese fiscal dynamics have been supportive for PGBs and the Portuguese sovereign rating, resulting in a raft of PGB tightener recommendations in recent memory.
- Still, the fact that DBRS’ A rating of the country is in line with 2/3 of the bigger rating agencies (with S&P currently one notch below at BBB+; Outlook Positive) and the trend (outlook) sitting at stable limits the scope for an outright upgrade after hours today.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.