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Pill and Mann both due to speak today (1/2)

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  • Huw Pill will speak at Asia house at 14:30BST today (text to be released at that time here with a Q&A to follow). Pill is generally seen as the most hawkish of the internal members - if he strikes a more dovish tone it would likely be interpreted as a dovish shift for all of the internal members and increase the probability of an August cut. In our view this is the most important UK event of the week.
  • Mann will appear on a panel on business investment this afternoon at 16:30BST in Manchester. She has been one of the most hawkish MPC members for some time, but her stance seemed to have softened a little in recent speeches. The panel is not directly covered monetary policy, but she is normally forthright with her views when she is asked (even if it is slightly off topic) and it will be interesting to see whether she is still some way from considering voting for a cut.
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  • Huw Pill will speak at Asia house at 14:30BST today (text to be released at that time here with a Q&A to follow). Pill is generally seen as the most hawkish of the internal members - if he strikes a more dovish tone it would likely be interpreted as a dovish shift for all of the internal members and increase the probability of an August cut. In our view this is the most important UK event of the week.
  • Mann will appear on a panel on business investment this afternoon at 16:30BST in Manchester. She has been one of the most hawkish MPC members for some time, but her stance seemed to have softened a little in recent speeches. The panel is not directly covered monetary policy, but she is normally forthright with her views when she is asked (even if it is slightly off topic) and it will be interesting to see whether she is still some way from considering voting for a cut.