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Polling Support For Democrats Plateaus After Strong Summer


Support for the Democrat Party has appeared to plateau after an period of steady improvement following the Supreme Court decision to override Roe vs Wade on June 24.

  • President Biden's approval rate has stabilised at marginally above 42%. The President's low approval rating is expected to present a drag on frontline House Democats.
  • According to FiveThirtyEight, the Senate currently leans slightly Democrat and House leans slightly Republican but both sides of Congress could go either way and will hinge upon minor changes in the political environment.
  • The GOP is likely to benefit from a more central role of the economy and immigration in the national discourse and a marginalisation of Trump and abortion related news.
  • In a bid to keep reproductive rights front and center, Democrats have have spent nearly USD$20 million on 100 abortion-centered broadcast TV ads in battleground states - three times more than Democrats spent on abortion related ads during the entire 2018 general election.

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