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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
SLOVAKIA
The final opinion polls released ahead of the 30 September legislative election shows a race that is tightening in the last days of the contest. While only a small eurozone economy, the election is being closely watched in Brussels given the prospect of a pro-EU and pro-Ukraine gov't being ousted in favour of a left-wing eurosceptic administration that could interact with the Union in a similar manner to Hungary's PM Viktor Orban.
- The populist eurosceptic Smer-SD of former PM Robert Fico has seen its lead over the pro-EU liberal Progressive Slovakia (PS) wane in the final polling. Crucially, neither will hold a majority in the National Council, requiring other parties to join them in coalition.
- In the election campaign, Fico has stated that under his gov't Ukraine would not receive "a single round" of ammunition from Slovakia. Given that future EU aid packages for Ukraine need unanimous approval from member states, Slovakia turning from an advocate of support to a holdout would risk major divisions between Bratislava and Brussels.
Chart 1. Slovakia General Election Opinion Polling, % and 6-Poll Moving Average
Source: Polis Slovakia, IPSOS, SANEP, Focus, AKO, NMS, MNI
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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