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PPI Eases as Energy Prices Cool

GERMAN DATA
MNI (London)

GERMANY MAR PPI -2.6% M/M (FCST -0.6%); FEB -0.3% M/M

GERMANY MAR PPI +7.5% Y/Y (FCST +9.8%); FEB +15.8% Y/Y

  • Cooling energy prices assisted another fall in producer prices in the German March data.
  • PPI fell -2.6% m/m, falling for the sixth consecutive month. Headline PPI cooled by 7.3pp to +7.5% y/y, substantially lower than the record peak of +45.8% y/y recorded in August/September. Both these prints were below consensus expectations.
  • Lower natural gas and mineral oils accounted for the bulk of lower PPI in March.
  • Core PPI (ex. energy) rose +0.2% m/m and +7.9% y/y, boosted by non-durable consumables (+0.7% m/m) largely due to higher food prices. Consumer durables rose +0.3% m/m and capital goods edged up by +0.2% m/m. Intermediates inched down -0.1% m/m.
  • Destatis flagged that Q1 PPI data will likely be revised down in the April release as the delayed effects of the electricity and gas price breaks will be taken into account by retrospectively.

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