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Pressure on EU LNG Supplies Eased by High Storage Levels

LNG

Europe can afford to lose a significant amount of LNG supply to competitors and still reach healthy storage levels before next winter according to Bloomberg.

  • The gradual price decline as prompted the buying interest from price sensitive South Asia countries such as India, Thailand, and Pakistan this month. A potential increase in demand from China this year would add to the global competition for LNG supplies.
  • The risk of extra competition for LNG supplies has helped provide support to TTF prices recovering from an 18-month low of 47.81€/MWh at the start of this week.
  • Northwest Europe, Austria and Italy LNG imports are estimated at 280mcm/d from April to September, equivalent to 51.3bcm according to Bloomberg.
  • The region is expected to attract 65% of the global flexible LNG supply (33bcm of gas) over the summer up 15 percentage points from last year.
    • TTF MAR 23 up 3.9% at 52.75€/MWh
    • JKM Mar 23 up 3.7% at 14.9$/mmbtu
    • JKM-TTF Mar 23 down -0.1$/mmbtu at -1.44$/mmbtu


Source: Bloomberg

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