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Price Signal Summary - Bund Trend Needle Points North

OUTLOOK
  • In the FI space, Bund futures maintain a bullish tone despite the latest pullback. Price has traded above the 50-day EMA at 139.93. A clear breach of this average would threaten the recent bearish theme and highlight a stronger short-term reversal. This would open 142.87, the Oct 4 high. The 20-day EMA marks initial support - it intersects at 138.64.
  • Gilt futures remain in a short-term uptrend and the contract traded higher Thursday, extending the current bull cycle. Pullbacks are considered corrective. The recent break of 104.39, Oct 27 high, confirmed a bull flag formation on the daily chart, reinforcing bullish conditions. This has opened 108.59, a Fibonacci retracement on the continuation chart. Initial firm support lies at 102.74, the 50-day EMA.

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