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Price Signal Summary - Bunds Maintain A Firmer Short-Term Tone

OUTLOOK
  • In the FI space, Bund futures traded higher last week. The contract maintains a firmer tone - for now - despite yesterday’s bearish start to the week. Price has recently traded through key resistance at 130.20, the Oct 12 high and a bull trigger. A clear break of this hurdle would strengthen current bullish conditions. This would open 131.33, 76.4% of the Sep 1 - Oct 4 downleg. Firm support to watch is 128.31, the Oct 27 low. A breach would highlight a possible reversal. First support lies at 129.05, the 20-day EMA.
  • Gilt futures traded higher last week as the recovery from the Oct 23 low extends. The contract has cleared 93.82, 61.8% of the Oct 12 - 23 bear leg and 94.52, the 76.4% retracement point. The continuation higher signals scope for a test of resistance at 95.66, the Oct 12 high. A break of this hurdle would strengthen a bullish case. Initial firm support to watch is 92.63, the Nov 1 low. A break would be a bearish development. The 50-day EMA, at 93.82, is first support.

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