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Price Signal Summary - EURUSD Trend Outlook Remains Bearish

OUTLOOK
  • In FX, the trend needle in EURUSD continues to point south and short-term gains are considered corrective. Last week’s breach of 1.0912, the Aug 3 low, confirmed a resumption of the bear cycle that started Jul 18 and opens 1.0834 next, the Jul 6 low and a key level. Price is also trading lower inside a bull channel drawn from the Mar 15 low. The base lies at 1.0763. Initial firm resistance is seen at 1.0950, the 20-day EMA.
  • GBPUSD is firmer but continues to trade inside a range. The trend condition is bearish and 1.2621, the Aug 14 low, marks the short-term bear trigger. A break would confirm a resumption of the downtrend and open 1.2591, the Jun 29 low and an important support. On the upside, key short-term resistance is unchanged at 1.2819, the Aug 19 high. Clearance of this level would signal a possible reversal.
  • The uptrend in USDJPY remains intact and short-term pullbacks are considered corrective. Last week’s gains resulted in a move above 145.07, the Jun 30 high. This confirms a resumption of the uptrend and maintains the bullish price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. MA studies are in a bull mode condition, highlighting an uptrend. The focus is on 147.49, the 2.00 projection of the Jul 14 - 21 - 28 price swing. Initial firm support is 143.99, the 20-day EMA.

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