MNI China Daily Summary: Thursday, July 25

MNI BRIEF: Japan Govt Keeps Econ View, Cuts Exports

MNI: PBOC Conducts CNY200 Bln via MLF Thurs; Rate Cut

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Lower At 7.1321 Thurs; -1.92% Y/Y

CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY235.1 BILLION VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPOS THURS

CHINA SETS YUAN CENTRAL PARITY AT 7.1321 THURS VS 7.1358

CBI Price Expectations for Three Months Ahead Lowest Since December 2020

MNI: UK JUL CBI INDUSTRIAL TRENDS TOTAL ORDERS -32

Broad-Based IFO Weakness Reinforces Narrative of Recovery Stall

RPT-MNI: Canada Sticks To Fiscal Anchors, Spends Chunk Of Windfall

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Price Signal Summary - Gilt Futures Test Key Short-Term Support

OUTLOOK
  • In the FI space, Bund futures traded lower again Wednesday . Price is through the 20-day EMA, at 135.91 and has pierced key short-term support at 134.70, the Mar 31 low. A clear break of this level would signal scope for weakness towards 134.15, 61.8% retracement of the Mar 2 - 20 rally. For bulls, a move above 138.09, the Apr 6 high, is required to reinstate the recent bullish theme. Initial firm resistance to watch is at 136.88, the Apr 11 high.
  • A short-term bearish threat in Gilt futures remains present. Recent weakness has resulted in a breach of support at the 20-day EMA which intersects at 103.79 and price has pierced support at 102.74, the Mar 20 low and a bear trigger. Clearance of this level would open 102.31, 61.8% of the Feb 28 - Mar 20 rally. On the upside, key resistance is seen at 104.97, the Apr 6 high. Initial resistance to watch is 103.79, the 20-day EMA.
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