MNI BRIEF: German Economy "Treading Water", Prices Stable -Ifo

MNI BRIEF: China To Release Childcare Subsidies, Boost Income

MNI: ITALY FEB HICP 0.1% M/M, 1.7% Y/Y

MNI BRIEF: PBOC Mulls New Tools Targeting Consumption

MNI BRIEF: China House Prices Up In February

MNI BRIEF: China Data Shows Good Foundation Despite Issues

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: UK, Finland Due Tuesday

EZ/UK T-Bill Calendar: 6-Month ESM-Bill Auction on Tuesday

MNI: US JAN BUSINESS INVENTORIES +0.3%; SALES -0.8%

GERMANY: Union/SPD Migration Alignment After Turmoil Threatened Debt Deal (BILD)

GERMANY: Official Interim Election Results Tilt Towards Missing BSW & FDP

© 1982-2025 MNI. All rights reserved.
Terms | Privacy
Log Out
Free Trial

OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Trend Needle In Bunds Points South

OUTLOOK
BundesbankCentral Bank NewsCEEMEAEurozoneGermanyBulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange Bullets
  • In the FI space, Bund futures are in consolidation mode and the contract continues to trade closer to its recent lows. A bearish theme remains intact. Last week’s impulsive sell-off signals scope for an extension towards 126.28 next, a 2.618 projection of the Feb 5 - 19 - 28 price swing. Further out, 126.00 is also within range. Note that the contract is in oversold territory, a recovery would allow this condition to unwind. Initial firm resistance to watch is seen at 129.41, the Jan 14 low.
  • The short-term trend outlook in Gilt futures is unchanged, it remains bearish. Recent gains appear corrective and the move lower this week, signals the end of the corrective cycle. Recent weakness resulted in a break of support at 91.79, the Feb 20 low. This level also represented a bear trigger and the breach signals scope for a continuation lower, with sights on 90.49 next, a 1.618 projection of the Feb 6 - 20 - Mar 4 price swing. Initial firm resistance is 92.63, the Mar 5 high.
173 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
  • In the FI space, Bund futures are in consolidation mode and the contract continues to trade closer to its recent lows. A bearish theme remains intact. Last week’s impulsive sell-off signals scope for an extension towards 126.28 next, a 2.618 projection of the Feb 5 - 19 - 28 price swing. Further out, 126.00 is also within range. Note that the contract is in oversold territory, a recovery would allow this condition to unwind. Initial firm resistance to watch is seen at 129.41, the Jan 14 low.
  • The short-term trend outlook in Gilt futures is unchanged, it remains bearish. Recent gains appear corrective and the move lower this week, signals the end of the corrective cycle. Recent weakness resulted in a break of support at 91.79, the Feb 20 low. This level also represented a bear trigger and the breach signals scope for a continuation lower, with sights on 90.49 next, a 1.618 projection of the Feb 6 - 20 - Mar 4 price swing. Initial firm resistance is 92.63, the Mar 5 high.