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Pricing after the hike

SHORT-STERLING
  • Short sterling seeing some decent downside moves. The Mar-22 contract had been down about 3 ticks on the day going into the decision, and is now down 9.5 ticks.
  • In terms of what this means for the curve, a February hike is now around 90% priced.
  • Greens and Blues are little changed following the decision with the rest of the Whites down 7.5-8.5 ticks and Reds down 3.5-6.0 ticks.
  • Remember that BOE holds a gilt maturing in March (of which it holds GBP25.1bln nominal, GBP27.9bln at the price the BOE paid). If Bank Rate is 0.50% in February (i.e. if there is another 25bp hike in February) those proceeds will not be reinvested.

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