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Problematic Crete S-300 Model for S-400s Unlikely to Fly with Greece, NATO & US

TURKEY

S-400s & the S-300 Crete Model

  • Local analyst says Turkish proposal for "Crete's S-300" model for S-400s is flawed on a number of accounts:
  • Background: Cyprus purchased S-300s from Russia in the late 1990s. But in the face of strong Turkish objections, the missiles were moved to Greek territory on Crete. System is kept non-operational and have been tested once in the past decade
  • Turkey aims for a similar agreement with S-400s: to remain in a non-fully operational state, and stored on non-Turkish, non-NATO territory in order to be invited back into the F-35 programme & lift CAATSA sanctions
  • Firstly, there is no indication that the Biden administration is willing to accept the S-400 on Turkish soil even in an unactivated state. Meaning missiles would have to be moved outside of Turkey.
  • However, there does not appear to be a mutually agreeable destination, especially given the more advanced S-400s pose a greater danger to Turkey's neighbours
  • Neither Greece, nor the rest of Europe, is likely to tolerate the S-400s in Turkish-aligned Northern Cyprus (previous analysts have said this would be a clear sign of positioning for armed conflict with Greece)
  • while the possible transfer of Turkish S-400s' to Libya is almost certainly a nonstarter for NATO high command
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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