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Q: Markets were convinced you'd cut rates.......>

BOE
BOE: Q: Markets were convinced you'd cut rates today. As it turns out, it's
relatively hawkish and suggests tightening ahead. In context of guidance, does
this suggest it doesn't work or would you suggest successor sticks with this
communication policy?
- A: Forward guidance part of the armoury available to CBs. Useful when
equilibrium interest rates very low or when policy reaches a turning point. Jury
is "IN" on forward guidance and it's utility. Helps give clues on the extend of
policy change around turning points and is helpful to communicate with
households and businesses directly. There's considerable evidence this works via
surveys, interest rate expectations. Speeches given underscore debates that
exist within meetings. Most recently this concerned whether there'd be an
economic bounce after the election. I [Carney] repeated what had been said in
the December minutes. Majority voted for hold as "so far, good enough", but made
it clear data will have to fill in, else additional stimulus likely required to
reinforce GDP, inflation recoveries. Different people in market have different
views.

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