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US TSY FLOWS: Rates well bid after bell, off post-ISM non-mfg highs (2YY fell to
Sep 2017 low of 1.3661%), near middle gap range on thin/whippy late trade amid
two-way positioning cautiously playing the range ahead Fri's employ data.
- Rates surged higher on large non-mfg ISM miss (52.6 vs. 55.2 est), stops
triggered on way up, prop and fast$ selling on highs, swap-tied selling on the
downswing w/real$ selling long end. De-risking evaporated on hopes of elusive
trade deal w/China after Pres Trump annc delegation visit next week, equities
bounce minutes after Dow took out 200dma (25851). Large curve steepener Block:
+29,333 FVZ 119-26.25 vs. -11,889 UXYZ 143-13.5. Eurodollar Whites-Reds surged
higher as chances of two more rate cuts by year end continue to gain.
- Nothing market moving from Fed speakers today, Clev Fed Mester push back
against panel's consensus a lot of slack in economy; says MonPol more
accommodative than in past; are structural issues in labour mkt that mon/pol
- The 2-Yr yield is down 9.4bps at 1.3841%, 5-Yr is down 8.8bps at 1.3441%,
10-Yr is down 6.5bps at 1.5341%, and 30-Yr is down 4.6bps at 2.0416%.