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/RATINGS: Moody's noted the following late....>

ITALY
ITALY: /RATINGS: Moody's noted the following late Thursday: "Although COVID-19
is leading to a severe econ shock that will push Italy's public debt to record
levels this year, the country's creditworthiness should remain broadly
unaffected given the temporary nature of the downturn & continuing low funding
costs. This view is based on 3 key assumptions: firstly, that the econ will
start to recover from Q320 onwards. Secondly, that sustained low funding costs
will allow the government to manage its higher debt level; and lastly that the
Italian authorities will present a medium-term fiscal plan that will reduce debt
over the coming years. Italy entered the coronavirus crisis with weaker credit
fundamentals than most other euro area countries, having recorded weak growth
over the last decade and very high public debt levels. Credit pressures could
intensify if Italy's economic recovery were to be delayed until 2021 or if it is
much weaker than expected, despite government and central bank measures.
Pressures would also build if the government failed to present a credible fiscal
strategy to repair the public finances or if a lack of consensus at the EU level
were to weaken policymakers' credibility and lead to higher borrowing costs.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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