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RBA Dated OIS Slightly Firmer Ahead Of RBA Decision

STIR

At its policy decision meeting at 0530 BST, the RBA is anticipated to keep the cash rate steady at 3.60% following the lower-than-expected Q1 core CPI. The statement's tone will likely be the focus, along with any indication of revised forecasts. After the meeting, RBA Governor Lowe will speak at 1220 BST.

  • RBA dated OIS is flat to 3bp firmer across meetings with a 14% chance of a 25bp hike priced for today's meeting.
  • Terminal rate expectations (August) sit at 3.71% for a cumulative tightening of 14bp.
  • Year-end easing expectations sit at 12bp.

Figure 1: RBA-Dated OIS – Today Vs. Yesterday



Source: Bloomberg / MNI - Market News

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