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Real Yields Continue To Rise Ahead Of Data

US TSYS SUMMARY

There was no let-up to Tsy weakness in overnight trade, with the long end getting hit once again. Double-digit rises in Aussie and Kiwi yields seen as the catalyst in Asia-Pac trading, with weakness continuing in the European session.

  • The 2-Yr yield is up 1bps at 0.1328%, 5-Yr is up 6bps at 0.6608%, 10-Yr is up 6.7bps at 1.4424%, and 30-Yr is up 6.2bps at 2.2949%.
  • 10-Yr real yields hit the highest levels since Jul 2020 (albeit still negative w 10 TIPS at -0.7316%); 2s30s nominal since 2015, 5s30s since 2014.
  • 0830ET data: jobless claims alongside Jan prelim durable goods orders and second reading of Q4 GDP. Pending Jan home sales at 1000ET, with KC Fed Mfg at 1100ET.
  • Another busy schedule of Fed speakers today: 0830ET is Atlanta's Bostic, 1030ET StL's Bullard, 1110ET VC Quarles, 1500ET NY's Williams.
  • In supply, 1130ET sees $65B of 4-/8-week bill auctions; 1300ET is $62B 7Y Note auction. NY Fed buys ~$1.75B of 20-30Y Tsys.


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