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Free AccessREPEAT: MNI ANALYSIS: BOJ Unfazed by Possible Board Vacancies
By Hiroshi Inoue
TOKYO (MNI) - Intensifying public criticism of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's
handling of the year-long political scandal may cause two temporary vacancies on
the Bank of Japan board, but the central bank policy-making is expected to be
little affected, at least until early April.
The opposition has boycotted parliamentary debate on the fiscal 2018 budget
and other key issues over the revelation that the Finance Ministry's Financial
Department, which manages national assets, doctored public documents to cover up
details of a state land sale at a huge discount to a school operator.
Finance Minister Taro Aso on Monday announced that MOF officials removed
the reference to Aso, Prime Minister Abe and his wife Akie, among others, from
those documents.
Abe and Aso have denied that they were involved in the land deal and said
they didn't tell anybody to rewrite official records.
The revelation comes at a crucial time for the government to appoint the
new BOJ leadership. The ruling coalition holds a majority in both chambers of
the Diet but still needs to call a plenary session in each house to receive
approval.
--SOME BREATHING SPACE
Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is set to serve his second five-year term after
his term ends on April 8.
This means his official reappointment is expected to take effect without a
delay as the opposition boycott is unlikely to last for more than three weeks,
which would force the government to draft a stop-gap budget for the fiscal year
starting on April 1.
The opposition is seeking a full account of whether any politicians tried
to influence the price negotiations between the MOF and the owner of a
kindergarten who planned to open a nationalist elementary school on a
government-owned plot of land. In 2016 it was sold at only 14% of the appraised
value.
This may put other key issues on the back-burner in parliamentary debate
but at the same time the opposition does not want to delay the debate on the
budget to the point of being blamed for causing any adverse effects on economic
activities.
The five-year terms of the BOJ deputy governors Hiroshi Nakaso and Kikuo
Iwata end on Monday and the appointment of their replacements may be delayed.
However, one of the deputies in waiting is Masayoshi Amamiya, a career
central banker who has drafted various monetary easing measures. He has been the
bank's executive director in charge of monetary policy for nearly eight years
and his current term is not up until June.
--PAST BOJ VACANCIES
In March 2008, the positions for the BOJ chief and one of the two deputies
became vacant after the five-year terms of the then governor Toshihiko Fukui and
the then deputy governors Toshiro Muto and Kazumasa Iwata ended on March 19.
The government wanted promote Muto to the top BOJ position but his
nomination was voted down by the opposition, which argued that Muto's background
as a former top MOF bureaucrat would hurt central bank independence from
government influences. The ruling coalition at the time didn't have a majority
in the Upper House.
On March 20, parliament approved the government nominations for the deputy
governors -- Masaaki Shirakawa, an executive director at the BOJ, and Kiyohiko
Nishimura, a BOJ board member. However, the government's pick of yet another
former finance ministry official for the governor failed to win Diet approval.
Shirakawa was then promoted to the governor on April 9, 2008 but one of the
two deputy governor positions remained vacant until October 27 that year, when
Hirohide Yamaguchi, an executive director at the BOJ, took office.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.