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Free AccessREPEAT: Weaker Dollar Helps Push Up China's July FX Reserves
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 10:36 GMT Aug 7/06:36 EST Aug 7
BEIJING (MNI) - Stronger valuation effects pushed the level of China's
foreign-exchange reserves to the highest since last October.
Foreign-exchange reserves surged $23.93 billion in July to $3.081 trillion,
the sixth consecutive monthly increase. June's increase was just $3.22 billion.
"In July, cross-border capital flows remained stable, and the supply and
demand of foreign exchange is trending toward an overall balance," the State
Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) said on its official website on
Monday.
The valuation effect was the main reason behind the surge, SAFE said.
"In the international financial market, non-dollar currencies have in
general appreciated versus the dollar," pushing up the value of forex reserves
overall, SAFE said.
Largely affected by the strong euro, the dollar index fell from 95.6309 on
June 30 to 92.8091 on July 31.
Xie Yaxuan and Yan Ling, analysts at China Merchant Securities, estimated
that the valuation effect contributed a $29.1 billion increase to
foreign-exchange reserves in July, while Liu Jian, senior analyst at Bank of
Communications, estimated it contributed $24 billion.
On top of the strong valuation effect, traders also said greater selling of
foreign exchange was behind the increase.
"I have a strong feeling that the environment has changed," a
Shanghai-based foreign-exchange trader at a commercial bank told MNI. "The
selling of foreign exchange has become more and more pronounced."
"I expect the foreign-exchange sales data to be at least 'not bad' for
July," the trader continued.
SAFE said it expects foreign-exchange reserves to remain stable.
"As the supply-side structural reforms deepens and the innovation-driven
development strategy continues to be implemented, the Chinese economy will be
more positive," SAFE said. "As the financial market opens up further, the
foreign-exchange market develops healthfully and market expectations remain
stable, the foundation for stable cross-border capital flows will be more solid,
resulting in the stabilization of foreign-exchange reserves."
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 85325998; email: he.wei@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: vince.morkri@marketnews.com
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.