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Retail Sales Disappoint With Near Flat Q2

CANADA DATA
  • Overall nominal retail sales are toned down from the 0.5% advance to instead print 0.2% M/M in May, whilst April was revised down marginally to 1.0% (initial 1.1%).
  • The May details were soft: ‘Core’ (ex autos/gas) sales were flat in May, whilst overall volumes printed 0.1% with a return to soft retail price inflation after 0.3% for volumes in April.
  • The June advance points to no growth on the month, with the 48% response rate one of the higher figures in recent months.
  • The combination leaves nominal retail sales on track to have increased just 0.3% annualized in Q2 after 2.9% in Q1 and 3.8% in Q4, with the latest developments working against some upside surprises for wholesale and manufacturing sales.

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