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EURO-DOLLAR: Reversed away from Thursday's European morning high of $1.1173 with
the corrective pullback picking up momentum into early NY as US data came in on
the firmer side (Retail Sales, Initial Jobless Claims and Phila Fed). Rate
pressed down to $1.1128 before closing the day around $1.1135. Rate touched an
early high of $1.1143 in Asia only to be eased down to $1.1131 as USD/JPY
rallied into the Tokyo fix (made fresh YTD highs of Y110.29) but had recovered
to $1.1140 into Europe.
- Support $1.1130/20, stronger into $1.1100. Resistance $1.1145/50, $1.1170/80
ahead of $1.1200.
- Decent sized option expiries for today's NY cut should act to keep rate hemmed
in between $1.1100-1.1200. Notable strikes are $1.1090-1.1105(E2.64bln),
$1.1120-25(E2.1bln), $1.1145-55(E2.84bln), $1.1165-66(E661mln),
- ECB Current Account at 0900GMT. EZ Final CPI at 1000GMT.
- US Housing data at 1330GMT, IP/Mfg and Cap.Ut. at 1415GMT. Prelim. UofM at