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Richer, Off Bests, CPI Monthly & RBA Lowe's Testimony Tomorrow

AUSSIE BONDS

ACGBs sit slightly stronger (YM +2.0 & XM +2.5) but well off Sydney session bests as cash tsys give up some of their early gains in Asia-Pac trade.

  • After the Memorial Day holiday, the cash tsy curve has twist flattened with yields lower beyond the 2-year. Among the benchmarks, the standout performer has been the 20-year, which has witnessed a 5.4bp decline, currently yielding at 4.086%.
  • Cash ACGBs are 3bp richer with the AU-US 10-year yield differential at -9bp.
  • Swap rates are 2-3bp lower with EFPs little changed.
  • The bills strip has twist flattened with pricing -2 to +4.
  • RBA-dated OIS pricing is 1-3bp softer for meetings beyond September.
  • Building approvals fell 8.1% m/m (estimate +2.0%) in April versus revised -1.0% in March. “Total dwellings approved fell to the lowest level since April 2012”, according to the ABS.
  • Tomorrow's schedule presents the week's: RBA Governor Lowe's testimony to parliament and the release of April CPI monthly data. Bloomberg consensus expects the annual rate to show a slight increase to 6.4%, with a range of 6.1% to 6.6%, compared to 6.3% in March.
  • The local calendar also releases Construction Work Done (Q1), Private Sector Credit (April), and CoreLogic House Prices (May).
  • The AOFM plans to sell A$300mn of the 1.75% 21 June 2051 bond tomorrow.

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