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Rising US-Japan Yield Differential Pressure On Yen

CROSS ASSET

The 10Y JGB yield touched an intraday high this morning of 0.255%, the highest since Jan 2016, though the current yield advantage for the US (216bp) is the highest since July 2019 with 10Y yields touching 2.55% this morning (highest since May 2019).

  • The BoJ's intervention line in the sand for the 10Y JGB, reiterated in this morning's policy operations, is of course 0.25%.
  • Assuming US yields can continue to put in new highs (they're only at a 3-year high) and Japanese yields remain capped, upside pressure on dollar-yen looks like it will continue: a move through 124.00 sets up a further move to the Aug 2015 high of 124.63.


Source: BBG, MNI

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