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Risk Off Pushes ADXY Lower

EM FX
  • ADXY edges lower after failing to break through its 200DMA (108.35) in the past few days amid rising uncertainty over Delta variant.
  • Another 'soft period of lockdown' starting in fall 2021 to lower the risk of another (4th) Covid wave would dramatically reduce the growth expectations in the EM world, which have constantly been reviewed to the upside in recent months.
  • More uncertainty would also imply stronger US Dollar (and therefore cheaper ADXY).
  • Next support to watch on ADXY stands at 108, followed by 107.76 (23.6% Fibo retracement of the 2020/2021 low high range). On the topside, ST resistance to watch above 108.35 stands at 108.71 (100DMA).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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