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Risk-on Allows NOKSEK Another Test Of Parity

SCANDIS

As noted above, risk-on moves in US equities are helping keep Scandi FX underpinned, with firmer Brent prices (which have pushed through yesterday's high) providing additional support to the NOK.

  • NOKSEK has risen around 0.4% in the last 120 minutes or so, to make another test of the psychological resistance at parity that has contained the cross in recent weeks.
  • EURNOK now approaches the 50-day EMA at 11.4660, with the 100-day EMA at 11.5098 seen further out. EURSEK similarly approaches clustered resistance around the 100/200-day EMAs (at 11.4268 and 11.4475 respectively).
  • The Riksbank announced that it sold $70mln and E350mln in its 15th week of FX hedging. The latter was due to EU membership payments as is standard (SEB noted this week that these payments are usually larger in Jan/Feb).
  • While a slowing of USD sales has been seen recently (primarily due to holiday/start of year liquidity), the pace will likely pick up in the coming weeks, with current tracking suggesting USD sales will be completed in early February.


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